Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Antonio Spurs vs. Milwaukee Bucks, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, March 22nd.
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The Spurs take on the Bucks on Wednesday, March 22nd at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
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Spurs
Bucks
In San Antonio’s most recent game, Sandro Mamukelashvili led the team in scoring with 20 points, but the Spurs fell to the Pelicans by a score of 119-84 to the Pelicans. Going into the game, oddsmakers had San Antonio as the 13.5 point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Spurs’ overall record sits at 19-53, placing them 14th in the Western Conference. The team’s current record at home is 13-25 and 6-28 on the road. San Antonio’s record against the spread is below .500 at 30-42.
Although the Spurs are ranked just 24th in the NBA at 112.4 points per game, they have been playing better of late. Over their previous five games, they have averaged 118 points per contest. San Antonio’s offensive struggles can partly be attributed to their season three-point shooting numbers. So far, they have hit 34.8% of their threes, placing them 23rd in the league. If they can improve their efficiency from downtown, they could move up the league’s scoring rankings, as they are already an above-average team in terms of pace (4th).
Defensively, the Spurs are have allowed opponents to shoot 46.6% from the field and are giving up 113.0 points per game which is 113.0 in the NBA. Opponents have knocked down 35.8% of their looks from deep against San Antonio. Generating turnovers has also been a weakness for the unit, averaging only 15.0 per game, placing them 4th in the league. On the boards, the Spurs rank 23rd in defensive rebounds per contest.
The Bucks enter today’s game looking to build some momentum after a 118-111 win over the Raptors. Brook Lopez and his 26 led the way for the Bucks. Heading into their previous matchup against the Raptors, the Bucks were favored by -7.0, giving them an ATS loss.
With the win, the team has moved to 51-20, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 29-7 at home and 22-13 on the road. This season, Milwaukee’s ATS record sits at 38-28.
The Bucks enter as one of the top scoring offenses in the league, with 116.3 points per game through 71 games (9th). Additionally, they have averaged 121 points per game in their last five games. The key to the Bucks’ offensive success is in their balance of pace and efficiency. This season, they are ranked 10th in the league in pace, while also hitting 36.6% of their three-point shots. Currently, the team’s effective field goal percentage of 55.1% is ranked 11th in the NBA.
The Bucks have struggled this season due to poor defensive rebounding and a lack of forced turnovers, ranking 23rd and 22nd respectively. They are allowing an average of 113.0 points per game, putting them 30th in the league. Opponents have connected on 35.8% of their three-pointers and 46.6% of their field goal attempts when facing Milwaukee.
So far this season, the Spurs and Bucks have played just one time, with the Spurs picking a 18 point win (111-93). The over/under line heading into this matchup was 219.5 points. With their combined scoring of 204, the teams fell below this number. In terms of the spread, San Antonio covered as 2.0 point favorites.
In the Spurs’ previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 235 points per contest.
Across Milwaukee’s last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-1-1 while going 4-1 straight-up. As the favorite, the Bucks are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of -12 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 235 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-3-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: SA +17.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 233.0
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